Blog Archive

Investment

Implied Forward Interest Rate

Monday, April 10th, 2017

Is It Time to Retire Your Thrift Savings Plan?

Thursday, April 6th, 2017

The Concentrated Stock Market

Friday, March 24th, 2017

Clark shares his thoughts on investing in the current concentrated stock market.

The Fed Rate Hike

Thursday, March 16th, 2017

The U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s Open Market Committee just raised the Fed Funds rate from 0.75% to 1.00%—the second rate hike in three months. These recent increases to the federal interest rate may be causing you to ask what you should do with your investment portfolio in light of this change.

The answer: nothing. First of all, the rate change was incredibly minor, considering all the press coverage it received. In the mid-2000s, Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan raised interest rates 17 times in quarter-point jumps, finally taking Fed Funds to a 5% rate. Over the course of the past few years, the economists at America’s central bank have behaved extremely cautiously.

Second, although you may read that any raise in interest rates is depressing for stocks, borrowing will be incrementally more expensive for American corporations than they were last week. However, it is important to keep in mind that this move was actually a validation of the country’s economic progress in our long slow climb out of The Great Recession.

By raising rates, the Fed was indicating that it believes the companies that make up our economy are healthy enough to survive and prosper under slightly higher interest rates. The markets apparently felt like this was a positive sign that the economy no longer needs to be nursed back to health. The widely-followed S&P 500 stock index rose a full percentage point following the announcement.

Third, the Fed has now moved into a mode where it is fighting inflation, rather than trying desperately to stimulate it. The worst thing that could happen to the economy is a bout of deflation, where prices fall and there are no policy remedies to fix the problem. In the discussion accompanying the rate rise, the Fed’s Board of Governors expressed concern that inflation might rise above their “target” of 2%, hence the tightening. If you read between the lines, they seem to feel that the threat of deflation is over.

Finally, the rate hike was expected and already built into the price of stocks. Additional rate increases are still are expected: at least two and possibly three 0.25% rises before the end of the year. The Fed also signaled that if there is any sign of backtracking, those plans will be scrapped. The rate increases are anything but reckless.

So what WILL be the effect of the rate hike? Borrowing to buy a car or a house will be slightly more expensive going forward than it was last week. The average thirty year fixed mortgage rate this time last year was 3.68%; it’s now up to 4.21%.

Most credit cards and private student loans charge variable rates of interest which will likely increase each time the Fed raises rates. Balances on Stafford, Graduate Plus or Parent Plus loans will remain at their current interest rates, but the rates on new loans will probably rise.

If your portfolio is well-diversified, there’s not much more you can do to ride out a (slowly) rising-rate environment. Ignore the headlines and celebrate the fact that even the most cautious economist in Washington are finally admitting that the economy is on solid ground.

Active & Passive Investment Management

Wednesday, February 15th, 2017

Investment management can be active or passive. Sometimes, that simple, fundamental choice can make a difference in portfolio performance. Both approaches have merit, and all investors should understand their principles.

How does passive asset management work? A passive asset management strategy employs investment vehicles mirroring market benchmarks. In their composition, these funds match an index – such as the S&P 500– component for component.

As a result, the return from a passively managed fund precisely matches the return of the index it replicates. The glass-half-full aspect of this is that the investment will never underperform that benchmark. The glass-half-empty aspect is that it will never outperform it, either.

Buy-and-hold investing goes hand-in-hand with passive investment management. A lengthy bull market makes a buy-and-hold investor (and a passive asset management approach) look good. With patience, an investor (or asset manager) rides the bull and enjoys the gains.

But, just as there is a potential downside to buy-and-hold investing (you can hold an asset too long), there is also a potential downside to passive investment management (you can be so passive that you fail to react to potential opportunities and changing market climates). That brings us to the respective alternatives to these approaches – market timing and active asset management (which is sometimes called dynamic asset allocation).

Please note that just as buy-and-hold investing does not equal passive asset management, market timing does not equal active asset management. Buy-and-hold investing and market timing are behaviors; passive asset management and active asset management are disciplines.

Active investment management attempts to beat the benchmarks. It seeks to take advantage of economic trends affecting certain sectors of the market. By overweighting a portfolio in sectors that are performing well and underweighting it in sectors that are performing poorly, the portfolio can theoretically benefit from greater exposure to the “hot” sectors and achieve a better overall return.

Active investment management does involve market timing. Investment professionals practicing dynamic asset allocation are not merely picking stocks and making impulsive trades. They rely on highly sophisticated analytics to adjust investment allocations in a portfolio, responding to price movements and seeking to determine macroeconomic and sector-specific trends. The dilemma with active investment management is that a manager (and portfolio) may have as many subpar years as excellent ones.

The two approaches are not mutually exclusive. In fact, many investment professionals help their clients use passive and active strategies at once. Some types of investments may be better suited to active management than passive management or vice versa. Similarly, when a bull market shifts into a bear market (or vice versa), one approach may suddenly prove more useful than the other, while both approaches are kept in mind for the long run.

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Please be aware that you are leaving www.kendallcapital.com and will be redirected to a third party website. Kendall Capital has no control over information at any third party site accessed from www.kendallcapital.com. Kendall Capital makes no representation and is not responsible for the quality, content, nature, or reliability of any linked site. The inclusion of any link does not imply endorsement, investigation, verification or monitoring by Kendall Capital. In no event shall Kendall Capital be responsible for your use of a third party site. Thank you for visiting Kendall Capital's website.

Please be aware that you are leaving www.kendallcapital.com and will be redirected to a third party website. Kendall Capital has no control over information at any third party site accessed from www.kendallcapital.com. Kendall Capital makes no representation and is not responsible for the quality, content, nature, or reliability of any linked site. The inclusion of any link does not imply endorsement, investigation, verification or monitoring by Kendall Capital. In no event shall Kendall Capital be responsible for your use of a third party site. Thank you for visiting Kendall Capital's website.

Please be aware that you are leaving www.kendallcapital.com and will be redirected to a third party website. Kendall Capital has no control over information at any third party site accessed from www.kendallcapital.com. Kendall Capital makes no representation and is not responsible for the quality, content, nature, or reliability of any linked site. The inclusion of any link does not imply endorsement, investigation, verification or monitoring by Kendall Capital. In no event shall Kendall Capital be responsible for your use of a third party site. Thank you for visiting Kendall Capital's website.

Please be aware that you are leaving www.kendallcapital.com and will be redirected to a third party website. Kendall Capital has no control over information at any third party site accessed from www.kendallcapital.com. Kendall Capital makes no representation and is not responsible for the quality, content, nature, or reliability of any linked site. The inclusion of any link does not imply endorsement, investigation, verification or monitoring by Kendall Capital. In no event shall Kendall Capital be responsible for your use of a third party site. Thank you for visiting Kendall Capital's website.

Please be aware that you are leaving www.kendallcapital.com and will be redirected to a third party website. Kendall Capital has no control over information at any third party site accessed from www.kendallcapital.com. Kendall Capital makes no representation and is not responsible for the quality, content, nature, or reliability of any linked site. The inclusion of any link does not imply endorsement, investigation, verification or monitoring by Kendall Capital. In no event shall Kendall Capital be responsible for your use of a third party site. Thank you for visiting Kendall Capital's website.

Please be aware that you are leaving www.kendallcapital.com and will be redirected to a third party website. Kendall Capital has no control over information at any third party site accessed from www.kendallcapital.com. Kendall Capital makes no representation and is not responsible for the quality, content, nature, or reliability of any linked site. The inclusion of any link does not imply endorsement, investigation, verification or monitoring by Kendall Capital. In no event shall Kendall Capital be responsible for your use of a third party site. Thank you for visiting Kendall Capital's website.

Please be aware that you are leaving www.kendallcapital.com and will be redirected to a third party website. Kendall Capital has no control over information at any third party site accessed from www.kendallcapital.com. Kendall Capital makes no representation and is not responsible for the quality, content, nature, or reliability of any linked site. The inclusion of any link does not imply endorsement, investigation, verification or monitoring by Kendall Capital. In no event shall Kendall Capital be responsible for your use of a third party site. Thank you for visiting Kendall Capital's website.

Please be aware that you are leaving www.kendallcapital.com and will be redirected to a third party website. Kendall Capital has no control over information at any third party site accessed from www.kendallcapital.com. Kendall Capital makes no representation and is not responsible for the quality, content, nature, or reliability of any linked site. The inclusion of any link does not imply endorsement, investigation, verification or monitoring by Kendall Capital. In no event shall Kendall Capital be responsible for your use of a third party site. Thank you for visiting Kendall Capital's website.

Please be aware that you are leaving www.kendallcapital.com and will be redirected to a third party website. Kendall Capital has no control over information at any third party site accessed from www.kendallcapital.com. Kendall Capital makes no representation and is not responsible for the quality, content, nature, or reliability of any linked site. The inclusion of any link does not imply endorsement, investigation, verification or monitoring by Kendall Capital. In no event shall Kendall Capital be responsible for your use of a third party site. Thank you for visiting Kendall Capital's website.

Please be aware that you are leaving www.kendallcapital.com and will be redirected to a third party website. Kendall Capital has no control over information at any third party site accessed from www.kendallcapital.com. Kendall Capital makes no representation and is not responsible for the quality, content, nature, or reliability of any linked site. The inclusion of any link does not imply endorsement, investigation, verification or monitoring by Kendall Capital. In no event shall Kendall Capital be responsible for your use of a third party site. Thank you for visiting Kendall Capital's website.

Please be aware that you are leaving www.kendallcapital.com and will be redirected to a third party website. Kendall Capital has no control over information at any third party site accessed from www.kendallcapital.com. Kendall Capital makes no representation and is not responsible for the quality, content, nature, or reliability of any linked site. The inclusion of any link does not imply endorsement, investigation, verification or monitoring by Kendall Capital. In no event shall Kendall Capital be responsible for your use of a third party site. Thank you for visiting Kendall Capital's website.

Please be aware that you are leaving www.kendallcapital.com and will be redirected to a third party website. Kendall Capital has no control over information at any third party site accessed from www.kendallcapital.com. Kendall Capital makes no representation and is not responsible for the quality, content, nature, or reliability of any linked site. The inclusion of any link does not imply endorsement, investigation, verification or monitoring by Kendall Capital. In no event shall Kendall Capital be responsible for your use of a third party site. Thank you for visiting Kendall Capital's website.

Please be aware that you are leaving www.kendallcapital.com and will be redirected to a third party website. Kendall Capital has no control over information at any third party site accessed from www.kendallcapital.com. Kendall Capital makes no representation and is not responsible for the quality, content, nature, or reliability of any linked site. The inclusion of any link does not imply endorsement, investigation, verification or monitoring by Kendall Capital. In no event shall Kendall Capital be responsible for your use of a third party site. Thank you for visiting Kendall Capital's website.

Please be aware that you are leaving www.kendallcapital.com and will be redirected to a third party website. Kendall Capital has no control over information at any third party site accessed from www.kendallcapital.com. Kendall Capital makes no representation and is not responsible for the quality, content, nature, or reliability of any linked site. The inclusion of any link does not imply endorsement, investigation, verification or monitoring by Kendall Capital. In no event shall Kendall Capital be responsible for your use of a third party site. Thank you for visiting Kendall Capital's website.

Please be aware that you are leaving www.kendallcapital.com and will be redirected to a third party website. Kendall Capital has no control over information at any third party site accessed from www.kendallcapital.com. Kendall Capital makes no representation and is not responsible for the quality, content, nature, or reliability of any linked site. The inclusion of any link does not imply endorsement, investigation, verification or monitoring by Kendall Capital. In no event shall Kendall Capital be responsible for your use of a third party site. Thank you for visiting Kendall Capital's website.

Please be aware that you are leaving www.kendallcapital.com and will be redirected to a third party website. Kendall Capital has no control over information at any third party site accessed from www.kendallcapital.com. Kendall Capital makes no representation and is not responsible for the quality, content, nature, or reliability of any linked site. The inclusion of any link does not imply endorsement, investigation, verification or monitoring by Kendall Capital. In no event shall Kendall Capital be responsible for your use of a third party site. Thank you for visiting Kendall Capital's website.

Please be aware that you are leaving www.kendallcapital.com and will be redirected to a third party website. Kendall Capital has no control over information at any third party site accessed from www.kendallcapital.com. Kendall Capital makes no representation and is not responsible for the quality, content, nature, or reliability of any linked site. The inclusion of any link does not imply endorsement, investigation, verification or monitoring by Kendall Capital. In no event shall Kendall Capital be responsible for your use of a third party site. Thank you for visiting Kendall Capital's website.

Please be aware that you are leaving www.kendallcapital.com and will be redirected to a third party website. Kendall Capital has no control over information at any third party site accessed from www.kendallcapital.com. Kendall Capital makes no representation and is not responsible for the quality, content, nature, or reliability of any linked site. The inclusion of any link does not imply endorsement, investigation, verification or monitoring by Kendall Capital. In no event shall Kendall Capital be responsible for your use of a third party site. Thank you for visiting Kendall Capital's website.

Please be aware that you are leaving www.kendallcapital.com and will be redirected to a third party website. Kendall Capital has no control over information at any third party site accessed from www.kendallcapital.com. Kendall Capital makes no representation and is not responsible for the quality, content, nature, or reliability of any linked site. The inclusion of any link does not imply endorsement, investigation, verification or monitoring by Kendall Capital. In no event shall Kendall Capital be responsible for your use of a third party site. Thank you for visiting Kendall Capital's website.

Please be aware that you are leaving www.kendallcapital.com and will be redirected to a third party website. Kendall Capital has no control over information at any third party site accessed from www.kendallcapital.com. Kendall Capital makes no representation and is not responsible for the quality, content, nature, or reliability of any linked site. The inclusion of any link does not imply endorsement, investigation, verification or monitoring by Kendall Capital. In no event shall Kendall Capital be responsible for your use of a third party site. Thank you for visiting Kendall Capital's website.

Please be aware that you are leaving www.kendallcapital.com and will be redirected to a third party website. Kendall Capital has no control over information at any third party site accessed from www.kendallcapital.com. Kendall Capital makes no representation and is not responsible for the quality, content, nature, or reliability of any linked site. The inclusion of any link does not imply endorsement, investigation, verification or monitoring by Kendall Capital. In no event shall Kendall Capital be responsible for your use of a third party site. Thank you for visiting Kendall Capital's website.

Please be aware that you are leaving www.kendallcapital.com and will be redirected to a third party website. Kendall Capital has no control over information at any third party site accessed from www.kendallcapital.com. Kendall Capital makes no representation and is not responsible for the quality, content, nature, or reliability of any linked site. The inclusion of any link does not imply endorsement, investigation, verification or monitoring by Kendall Capital. In no event shall Kendall Capital be responsible for your use of a third party site. Thank you for visiting Kendall Capital's website.

Please be aware that you are leaving www.kendallcapital.com and will be redirected to a third party website. Kendall Capital has no control over information at any third party site accessed from www.kendallcapital.com. Kendall Capital makes no representation and is not responsible for the quality, content, nature, or reliability of any linked site. The inclusion of any link does not imply endorsement, investigation, verification or monitoring by Kendall Capital. In no event shall Kendall Capital be responsible for your use of a third party site. Thank you for visiting Kendall Capital's website.

Please be aware that you are leaving www.kendallcapital.com and will be redirected to a third party website. Kendall Capital has no control over information at any third party site accessed from www.kendallcapital.com. Kendall Capital makes no representation and is not responsible for the quality, content, nature, or reliability of any linked site. The inclusion of any link does not imply endorsement, investigation, verification or monitoring by Kendall Capital. In no event shall Kendall Capital be responsible for your use of a third party site. Thank you for visiting Kendall Capital's website.

Please be aware that you are leaving www.kendallcapital.com and will be redirected to a third party website. Kendall Capital has no control over information at any third party site accessed from www.kendallcapital.com. Kendall Capital makes no representation and is not responsible for the quality, content, nature, or reliability of any linked site. The inclusion of any link does not imply endorsement, investigation, verification or monitoring by Kendall Capital. In no event shall Kendall Capital be responsible for your use of a third party site. Thank you for visiting Kendall Capital's website.

Please be aware that you are leaving www.kendallcapital.com and will be redirected to a third party website. Kendall Capital has no control over information at any third party site accessed from www.kendallcapital.com. Kendall Capital makes no representation and is not responsible for the quality, content, nature, or reliability of any linked site. The inclusion of any link does not imply endorsement, investigation, verification or monitoring by Kendall Capital. In no event shall Kendall Capital be responsible for your use of a third party site. Thank you for visiting Kendall Capital's website.

Please be aware that you are leaving www.kendallcapital.com and will be redirected to a third party website. Kendall Capital has no control over information at any third party site accessed from www.kendallcapital.com. Kendall Capital makes no representation and is not responsible for the quality, content, nature, or reliability of any linked site. The inclusion of any link does not imply endorsement, investigation, verification or monitoring by Kendall Capital. In no event shall Kendall Capital be responsible for your use of a third party site. Thank you for visiting Kendall Capital's website.

Please be aware that you are leaving www.kendallcapital.com and will be redirected to a third party website. Kendall Capital has no control over information at any third party site accessed from www.kendallcapital.com. Kendall Capital makes no representation and is not responsible for the quality, content, nature, or reliability of any linked site. The inclusion of any link does not imply endorsement, investigation, verification or monitoring by Kendall Capital. In no event shall Kendall Capital be responsible for your use of a third party site. Thank you for visiting Kendall Capital's website.

Please be aware that you are leaving www.kendallcapital.com and will be redirected to a third party website. Kendall Capital has no control over information at any third party site accessed from www.kendallcapital.com. Kendall Capital makes no representation and is not responsible for the quality, content, nature, or reliability of any linked site. The inclusion of any link does not imply endorsement, investigation, verification or monitoring by Kendall Capital. In no event shall Kendall Capital be responsible for your use of a third party site. Thank you for visiting Kendall Capital's website.

Please be aware that you are leaving www.kendallcapital.com and will be redirected to a third party website. Kendall Capital has no control over information at any third party site accessed from www.kendallcapital.com. Kendall Capital makes no representation and is not responsible for the quality, content, nature, or reliability of any linked site. The inclusion of any link does not imply endorsement, investigation, verification or monitoring by Kendall Capital. In no event shall Kendall Capital be responsible for your use of a third party site. Thank you for visiting Kendall Capital's website.

Please be aware that you are leaving www.kendallcapital.com and will be redirected to a third party website. Kendall Capital has no control over information at any third party site accessed from www.kendallcapital.com. Kendall Capital makes no representation and is not responsible for the quality, content, nature, or reliability of any linked site. The inclusion of any link does not imply endorsement, investigation, verification or monitoring by Kendall Capital. In no event shall Kendall Capital be responsible for your use of a third party site. Thank you for visiting Kendall Capital's website.

Please be aware that you are leaving www.kendallcapital.com and will be redirected to a third party website. Kendall Capital has no control over information at any third party site accessed from www.kendallcapital.com. Kendall Capital makes no representation and is not responsible for the quality, content, nature, or reliability of any linked site. The inclusion of any link does not imply endorsement, investigation, verification or monitoring by Kendall Capital. In no event shall Kendall Capital be responsible for your use of a third party site. Thank you for visiting Kendall Capital's website.